Central Bank of Nigeria in Policy Somersault

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Read Time:6 Minute, 44 Second

A well-targeted policy reform does involve a process of adaptation and learning the outcomes with regard to the reform targets. Nevertheless, it is axiomatic and development experts agree that the less disruptive the change policy, the higher the possibility of its buy-in and success.

Also, change policies within an industry or sector stand better chances of success when they have consistent elements and have linear focus over time. The Nigerian experience always tends to negate these

truisms through rapid yet inconsistent change policies within an industry or sector. This is how the terminology “policy somersault” sticks in the highly volatile Nigerian policy terrain.
Policy Somersault
After the assault on bank debtors and little more than harassment of a few bank executive directors, the banking regulator is now sacking the existing banking policies with the familiar drama. In about 18 to 24 months, the Nigerian banking sector will assume a completely new character, negating all the defining selling attributes of the industry in the three years before the local experience of the global banking crisis.
Some of the new policies being introduced will depart completely from the existing order. Instead of a ‘manageable’ two dozen banks, the CBN says it is ready to licence several new banks. Replacing the policies that intended to encourage banks to spread across national, regional and global markets, the CBN would like to re-direct the banks into a specific geographic and operational pigeon holes, under an impending classification of banks.
Not done, the CBN wants to re-license the banks as specialized banks after withdrawing their universal banking licenses.
Here are some questions on the immediate point of stepping down the banks’ scope of operation as planned by the CBN. Will the banks have to pay for their new licenses? Since the licenses will be narrow in scope, will the CBN pay compensation to the banks for obvious inferior licenses? In fact, will the CBN compensate bank shareholders for decline in profit arising from loss of previous other areas of business? We ask ominously: what will happen to the banks? subsidiaries if their owners are unable to find buyers for the severed assets in two years from now?
Immediate Past Banking Reform Targets
Just six years ago, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) rolled out the banking industry reform policies. Through its communication and implementation, it was clear the reform targets included:
  • Consolidation of Nigerian banks through mergers and acquisitions to eliminate widespread distress syndrome which was linked to existence of several marginal banks which compounded the challenges faced by the regulators and supervisors in executing their mandates effectively.
  • Emergence of big Nigerian banks having capacities to finance large projects
  • Incentivized tier-1 capital growth beyond the N25 billion regulatory capital to help Nigerian banks break into the top ranking of African banks to reflect the relative big size of the country’s economy
  • Affiliation of Nigerian banks with global banks with the specific objective that the country’s deposit money banks also gain asset management knowledge and experience
  • Evolution of a banking sector that contributes significantly to economic growth through improved credit penetration and wider financial access
Three years before the mid-2004 banking reform took off, Nigeria had adopted the universal banking model to address issues around levelling the playing field for all market participants and encouraging innovation and competition.
Dispelling claims against the banking consolidation and universal banking
The core principles of both the last banking reform and introduction of universal banking regime in Nigeria did not necessarily lead to the ills and near-disaster they have been associated with in the last nine months. The local experience of the financial market crisis mirrored the causes and effects of the global problem.
Financial market growth rides on asset bubble which bursts in a matter of time. This is usually cyclical.
During the period of growth, market players tend to be ahead of the regulators and or supervisors. Therefore, the direction of regulatory reforms across the Atlantic is how to manage future financial market growth through counter-cyclical measures and keep regulators and supervisors ahead of the game.
The reason why there seems to be little progress with the reform process in the matured market is because the process is driven by debate and not impulse. More important, the process aims at improved safety and soundness, but never to impair growth. So the most unlikely of places – Nigeria – is where we are seeing the most drastic regulatory reforms after the crisis.
With a modicum of fastidiousness, several myths could be unveiled with regard to why Nigeria must make 180 degrees turn from the past banking policies. Some of the myths are enumerated hereunder.
One, introduction of N25 billion regulatory capital did not preclude a bank from becoming a regional bank, serving only one state out of the 36 states of the federation and Abuja, or serving one of the six geo-political zones or completely limiting its footprint to any of the geo-ethnic cleavages in the country.
Two, universal banking does not compel all the 25 and later 24 consolidated banks to have investment banking, stock brokerage, insurance, mortgage, (pension) asset management and microfinance arms, since all the banks operate commercial banking first and foremost. Neither does universal banking mean an Arewa Bank, Oduduwa Bank or Igbo Bank could not operationally be an agric, infrastructure or trade finance bank.
Three, so far, it is even more plausible that universal banking and banking industry consolidation have increased skill aggregates in the system. The banks are leveraging on bigger capital bases, global outlook and attraction of professionals from outside the country including Nigeria in Diaspora who otherwise would have had nothing to do with erstwhile Nigerian micro banks.
Four, failure of regulation and supervision of 25 “mega” banks will not translate into more efficiency of the regulators when additional x number of smaller banks are added to the system after slicing up the existing big banks.
Five, in the last nine months, we have seen that a wildcard invitation of foreign equity holding in the Nigerian banking sector will not be received and responded to with unstudied enthusiasm.
Yet other myths
The CBN is taking the system through the new tracks in implementation of its reform targets of “enhancing the quality of banks, establishing financial stability, enabling healthy financial sector evolution and ensuring that the financial sector contributes to the real economy in many areas”.
Take the classifying of banks into operational and geographic pigeon hole for instance. One obvious lesson of the global banking crisis is that banks cannot grow too big to fail. But we now know as well that small banks are by far less able to survive major banking crisis. In 2008, 25 banks were closed in the United States. Last year, the number of bank failures jumped to 140. But a February 23 statement by FDIC Chairman, Sheila Bair, said 30 banks had already failed in the US this year. The bad news actually is that she estimated bank failure in 2010 to surpass the 2009 figure.
Of the 195 bank failures in the US since 2008, Lehman Brother and Bear Stearns collapses are the best known. The overwhelming majority of the failed banks were small(er), regional or specialised banks the CBN wants to re-create in Nigeria. Nigerian mushroom “specialised” banks had always disappeared in no time.
Collaboration amongst regulators
After the plunge the current regime at the CBN took ostensibly to sanitise the market mid 2009, it is encouraging to see that attempts are now being made to fashion more robust and collaborative regulation and supervision across the Nigerian financial markets. This is a welcome development. What one wishes is that the revamped meetings of the Financial Services Regulation Coordinating Committee (FSRCC), comprising the CBN, FMF, NDIC, SEC, CAC, NAICOM, PENCOM, NSE and ASCE, will promote necessary debates on measure to strengthen regulation and supervision, and coordination of the independent bodies that dot the country’s financial landscape.
By: Jide Akintunde and Chris Ogbodo

Jide Akintunde (jide@financialnigeria.com)

About Post Author

Anthony-Claret Ifeanyi Onwutalobi

Anthony-Claret is a software Engineer, entrepreneur and the founder of Codewit INC. Mr. Claret publishes and manages the content on Codewit Word News website and associated websites. He's a writer, IT Expert, great administrator, technology enthusiast, social media lover and all around digital guy.
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Africa- Toxic ideology dump

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Read Time:8 Minute, 11 Second

As part of the fall-out from the financial crisis, business schools are now seen as training grounds for what FDR once called malefactors of great wealth–the more prestigious the business school, the worse the malefaction obviously. Columbia University’s Business School Dean, R. Glenn Hubbard, served as chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers under George W. Bush and has been one of the nation’s more intransigent defenders of free market fundamentalism. While it is difficult to rank people such as Hubbard in terms of the harm done to American workers, he surely is a finalist in the competition for evil economists.

Hubbard is a fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, one of the country’s foulest neoconservative think-tanks, and a regular contributor to the Wall Street Journal editorial page where he defended Bush’s tax cuts for the rich, scuttling the Kyoto Protocol on climate change and most recently defended the health insurance industry against even the mildest reforms.

Apparently not content to ravage American society, he has donned a safari cap and penetrated the Dark Continent in order to help the benighted natives achieve prosperity. For those who follow the activities of a-list economists, it should be well understood that “helping the Africans out of poverty” is a must for those aspiring to the Nobel Prize and other honors bestowed by bourgeois society.

Hubbard and fellow Columbia business school professor William Duggan (about whom later) have just come out with “The Aid Trap: Hard Truths About Ending Poverty“, published by Columbia University Press. The book argues that aid to governments and NGO’s does not work and that a new Marshall Plan geared to small businesses is the key to success. While I doubt that anybody who reads this blog will be tempted to waste $22.95 on such nonsense, you can get an idea of what these evil professors propose in an August 2009 article by Hubbard on the Foreign Policy website.  Titled “Think Again: A Marshall Plan for Africa“, it makes the case for bringing Africa “back to life” in the same way that Europe was. Although I have become fairly inured to this sort of rightwing garbage over the years, Hubbard’s article took my breath away. It might have even been enough to make a Goebbels blush.

Hubbard starts from an absurd premise, namely that the African economy is “overregulated” and that markets have never been given a chance:

But take a look at the World Bank’s annual report, “Doing Business,” and you’ll realize that many African economies have never had a business market to fail — thanks to their governments’ dense, unnavigable regulations.

This certainly does not describe the continent’s largest economy: South Africa. Since the ANC took power, it has adopted an economics strategy that could have been drafted by Hubbard himself. The Growth Employment and Redistribution Strategy (GEAR) has embraced free markets for the avowed purpose of creating a local bourgeoisie of the kind that is supposedly necessary for job creation and prosperity. Indeed, it has brought prosperity to the few while the unemployment rate has soared to 23.5 percent. It is doubtful that stringent regulations have led to such a disaster. In fact, the main cause is a collapse of the mining and steel industries attributable to declining exports in a world economy suffering from the hangover brought on by one bottle too many of R. Glenn Hubbard’s snake oil medicine from the Bush years.

The other major economy is Nigeria’s, which is largely dependent on foreign oil companies. 80% of the Nigerian government’s income is from oil, and over half of all oil money comes from Shell.  And the last time I noticed, Shell Oil was not having a problem with overregulation.

The 500,000 tribal Ogoni of the Niger delta in southern Nigeria have watched as their traditional fishing and farming livelihood has been laid waste by Shell Oil’s extraction of oil, with full complicity of the national government, which has allowed large parts of the Ogonis’ homeland to be ruined. The Ogonis’ land has been contaminated not only by oil wells and pipelines, but also by gas flares that burn 24 hours a day, producing intense heat and chemical gas fogs that pollute nearby homes as they render farm fields barren and unproductive. The constant flaring of natural gas also contributes measurably to global warming. Several Ogoni who protested the ruination of their homeland and the impoverishment of their people have been convicted of false charges and executed.

Shell has extracted oil from the Niger Delta since 1958. Shell operates a joint-venture consisting of Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation, Elf and Agip. Shell is by far the largest foreign oil company in Nigeria, accounting for 50 per cent of Nigeria’s oil production. Nigeria generated roughly 12 per cent of Shell’s oil production world-wide in the late 1990s.

According to one observer on the scene, “Rivers, lakes and ponds are polluted with oil, and much of the land is now impossible to farm. Canals, or `slots’, have permanently damaged fragile ecosystems and led to polluted drinking water and deaths from cholera. Gas flaring and the construction of flow stations near communities have led to severe respiratory and other health problems…”

Going from the ridiculous to the ridiculouser, Hubbard next makes the case for colonialism even more unabashedly than Niall Ferguson, or Cecil Rhodes for that matter. Referring to the concerns that pro-business policies would lead to a new colonialism, Hubbard assures his readers that this might be such a bad thing:

“Strong Businesses in Africa Will Be the New Colonialists.”

First, Africa was poor before colonialism, and for many countries, colonialism may well have made Africa richer. There were some exceptions, such as the Belgian Congo in the early 20th century, where forced labor for rubber extraction made the people poorer. But overall, Africans in 1960 were healthier, lived longer, and had higher incomes than Africans in 1900. Ghanaian economist George Ayittey calls the colonial era the “golden age of peasant prosperity” in Africa, when the vast mass of rural Africans joined the world economy for the first time. By 1960, this was even true in the Belgian Congo. The hospitals, ports, schools, railways, and roads of Africa date from the colonial era. Certainly Europeans benefited unfairly from colonialism, but for Africans the result was still an improvement over their former poverty.

You’ll notice how deftly Hubbard sidesteps the issue of slavery, which was essential to the colonization of the Western Hemisphere. If Africa was not being colonized in he same fashion as Jamaica or Brazil in the 1700s, it was still essential to the sugar plantations whose profits enriched Europe in this period. The loss of able-bodied men and women to the slave trade robbed Africa of the possibility of emerging as a relatively strong and self-reliant economic entity.

Hubbard moves from the ridiculous to the obscene when he describes Congo as “prosperous” in 1960, seemingly defined by the presence of “hospitals, ports, schools, railways, and roads of Africa date from the colonial era.” Except for the hospitals, every other sign of prosperity is associated with the extraction of minerals that certainly left Europeans richer.

But even more to the point, how in the world can one mention Congo, colonialism and the year 1960 in the same breath without referring to the overthrow of Lumumba in that year? Acting on behalf of Western corporations, upon whose behalf Hubbard has advocated forcefully for decades, the breakaway province of Katanga succeeded in ruining the chances of the Congo to benefit from its minerals. For the better part of four decades, the country was bled dry by a corrupt dictator supported by the West and by conservative think tanks in particular as a bulwark against Communism.

It is also of course worth mentioning that the Marshall Plan only succeeded because WWII destroyed so much of the European economy that it became ripe for a new cycle of capital accumulation. With funding from a cash-rich U.S.A., European corporations went into high gear supplying new markets for housing, automobiles, clothing, and other consumer goods. Furthermore, there was an added incentive to make the Marshall Plan work since it was necessary to stave off socialism. With the disappearance of the Soviet Union, there is little need to pump money into the African economy except, of course, on a strictly for-profit basis. Hubbard regards Zimbabwe as an abject lesson in the failure of statist economies, but he neglects to mention how fully integrated the country is in global markets, even on a basis that sounds like a Jonathan Swift satire:

Meals come only once a day for Helen Goremusandu, 67, and the six children she is raising. With prices for the most basic food products increasingly beyond her reach, that daily meal often consists of nothing more than boiled pumpkin leaves, washed down with water.

About a mile away, a Zimbabwean government grain mill is churning out a new product: Doggy’s Delight. Announced by its creators in January, the high-protein pet food is aimed at the lucrative export market, one of the dwindling sources of foreign exchange in a collapsing economy.

–Washington Post, March 3, 2008

Well, who knows. Maybe Hubbard believes that a Marshall Plan is best suited for boosting the sales of Doggy’s Delight. From the standpoint of comparative advantage, that’s what Africa seems cut out for nowadays.

About Post Author

Anthony-Claret Ifeanyi Onwutalobi

Anthony-Claret is a software Engineer, entrepreneur and the founder of Codewit INC. Mr. Claret publishes and manages the content on Codewit Word News website and associated websites. He's a writer, IT Expert, great administrator, technology enthusiast, social media lover and all around digital guy.
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Shell Threatens Further Shut Down of Gas Plants

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Read Time:6 Minute, 39 Second

The increase of 3,362mw of electricity generation recorded by the Power Holding Company of Nigeria (PHCN) last weekend may be short-lived as Shell Petroleum Development Company (SPDC) has again threatened to shut down its Sapele Gas Plant.

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About Post Author

Anthony-Claret Ifeanyi Onwutalobi

Anthony-Claret is a software Engineer, entrepreneur and the founder of Codewit INC. Mr. Claret publishes and manages the content on Codewit Word News website and associated websites. He's a writer, IT Expert, great administrator, technology enthusiast, social media lover and all around digital guy.
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Confusion Grows on Nigerian Telecom Bid

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Read Time:1 Minute, 55 Second

About Post Author

Anthony-Claret Ifeanyi Onwutalobi

Anthony-Claret is a software Engineer, entrepreneur and the founder of Codewit INC. Mr. Claret publishes and manages the content on Codewit Word News website and associated websites. He's a writer, IT Expert, great administrator, technology enthusiast, social media lover and all around digital guy.
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Walmart offers dumped workers a tissue

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About Post Author

Anthony-Claret Ifeanyi Onwutalobi

Anthony-Claret is a software Engineer, entrepreneur and the founder of Codewit INC. Mr. Claret publishes and manages the content on Codewit Word News website and associated websites. He's a writer, IT Expert, great administrator, technology enthusiast, social media lover and all around digital guy.
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Walmart changes game plan for Canada

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Walmart is having second thoughts about its master plan for Canada, at least that’s what some of the analysts are saying. According to a recent industry report, the world’s largest retailer is throwing the breaks on its uber-aggressive vision for the Great White North, which involves throwing up a new Superstore behemoth every other month. Continue reading

About Post Author

Anthony-Claret Ifeanyi Onwutalobi

Anthony-Claret is a software Engineer, entrepreneur and the founder of Codewit INC. Mr. Claret publishes and manages the content on Codewit Word News website and associated websites. He's a writer, IT Expert, great administrator, technology enthusiast, social media lover and all around digital guy.
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FirstRand Plans Retail, Commercial Banking in Nigeria

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Jan. 12 (Bloomberg) — FirstRand Ltd., South Africa’s second-biggest financial-services company, said it plans to start a division in Nigeria that will include commercial and retail units.

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About Post Author

Anthony-Claret Ifeanyi Onwutalobi

Anthony-Claret is a software Engineer, entrepreneur and the founder of Codewit INC. Mr. Claret publishes and manages the content on Codewit Word News website and associated websites. He's a writer, IT Expert, great administrator, technology enthusiast, social media lover and all around digital guy.
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Wal-Mart May be Looking at Entering S. Africa, Pick & Pay Says

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Oct. 21 (Bloomberg) — Wal-Mart Stores Inc. may be looking at entering the South African market in the next five years and has been “sniffing around” for opportunities in Africa’s largest economy, Pick n Pay Stores Ltd.

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About Post Author

Anthony-Claret Ifeanyi Onwutalobi

Anthony-Claret is a software Engineer, entrepreneur and the founder of Codewit INC. Mr. Claret publishes and manages the content on Codewit Word News website and associated websites. He's a writer, IT Expert, great administrator, technology enthusiast, social media lover and all around digital guy.
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How Amazon can beat Wal-Mart’s pricing game

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Instead of fighting a price war it can’t possibly win, the online retailer should back off and cede the low ground.

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About Post Author

Anthony-Claret Ifeanyi Onwutalobi

Anthony-Claret is a software Engineer, entrepreneur and the founder of Codewit INC. Mr. Claret publishes and manages the content on Codewit Word News website and associated websites. He's a writer, IT Expert, great administrator, technology enthusiast, social media lover and all around digital guy.
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Wal-Mart keeps conservative U.S. growth approach

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SAN FRANCISCO, Oct 22 (Codewit) – Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT.N) said on Thursday it will keep its conservative approach to U.S. expansion as it pours resources into renovating stores or exploring higher-return investments abroad. Continue reading

About Post Author

Anthony-Claret Ifeanyi Onwutalobi

Anthony-Claret is a software Engineer, entrepreneur and the founder of Codewit INC. Mr. Claret publishes and manages the content on Codewit Word News website and associated websites. He's a writer, IT Expert, great administrator, technology enthusiast, social media lover and all around digital guy.
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